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Alright, let’s dive into the pool and break this down! Hungary vs. Serbia is a banger, but I’m not sold on that -1.5 for Serbia at 1.85 just yet. Serbia’s offense is a machine, no doubt, averaging 12 goals a game, and Hungary’s defense has more holes than a bad blackjack table. But Hungary’s got home crowd energy and a knack for gritty comebacks—check their last three matches, they clawed back from deficits twice. Serbia’s fast breaks are lethal, but if Hungary tightens up in transition, this could stay tight. I’d lean towards Serbia straight win at 1.60 over the spread; it’s safer for the bankroll.
Now, Spain vs. Italy—calling Spain’s keeper a brick wall is spot-on, but don’t sleep on Italy’s sneaky counterattacks. Spain’s defense is suffocating, allowing under 8 goals per game in their last five, and Italy’s power play is stuck in the mud, converting only 22% of chances. Under 18.5 at 1.70 is tempting, but I’m eyeing the Under 17.5 at 1.95 for better value—both teams play cagey, and recent head-to-heads average 15 goals. Stats are screaming low-scoring grind here. Been flipping through sportsbook apps, and these lines are moving fast, so lock in early. Anyone got a read on Italy’s lineup? Their center forward’s been iffy lately. Let’s cash these bets and keep the streak alive