Testing a Progressive Betting System on Hockey Matches: My Results So Far

arthmipm

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Mar 18, 2025
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Hey all, thought I’d drop in and share some numbers from my latest experiment. I’ve been testing a progressive betting system on hockey matches for the past couple of months, and the results are starting to take shape. Figured this thread’s a good spot to lay it out since it’s about wins—and yeah, losses too.
The system’s pretty straightforward: I’m using a modified Martingale approach, but with a twist to keep things manageable. Start with a base unit—say, $10—and double it after every loss on a moneyline bet. The catch is I cap it at four steps to avoid spiraling into crazy amounts. After a win, I reset to the base. I also stick to underdog bets with odds between +120 and +180, focusing on teams with decent recent form but not the obvious favorites. Hockey’s got enough chaos in it to make this interesting, especially with how goals can swing late in games.
So far, I’ve tracked 35 bets over 8 weeks, all on NHL regular season games. Out of those, 14 hit, which is about 40%—not stellar, but the odds balance it out. Total staked: $1,230. Total returned: $1,680. That’s a $450 profit, or roughly 36% ROI. Not bad, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The longest losing streak was three, which meant a $70 bet on the fourth step. When that hit at +150, it pulled me back into the green, but those stretches test your nerve—and your bankroll.
Biggest win was a $40 bet on the Jets beating the Leafs at +140 back in February. They were down 2-0 going into the third, then stormed back with three unanswered goals. Paid out $96, and I reset the system right after. Worst loss? A $70 bet on the Coyotes against the Oilers. McDavid went off, and I was out the full amount. That’s hockey for you—unpredictable as hell.
I’m still tweaking the filters—might narrow it to specific divisions or home underdogs only. Sample size is small, so I wouldn’t call this a goldmine yet. Anyone else messing with progressive systems on sports? Curious how you handle the variance. For now, I’ll keep grinding it and update if it crashes or takes off.
 
Hey all, thought I’d drop in and share some numbers from my latest experiment. I’ve been testing a progressive betting system on hockey matches for the past couple of months, and the results are starting to take shape. Figured this thread’s a good spot to lay it out since it’s about wins—and yeah, losses too.
The system’s pretty straightforward: I’m using a modified Martingale approach, but with a twist to keep things manageable. Start with a base unit—say, $10—and double it after every loss on a moneyline bet. The catch is I cap it at four steps to avoid spiraling into crazy amounts. After a win, I reset to the base. I also stick to underdog bets with odds between +120 and +180, focusing on teams with decent recent form but not the obvious favorites. Hockey’s got enough chaos in it to make this interesting, especially with how goals can swing late in games.
So far, I’ve tracked 35 bets over 8 weeks, all on NHL regular season games. Out of those, 14 hit, which is about 40%—not stellar, but the odds balance it out. Total staked: $1,230. Total returned: $1,680. That’s a $450 profit, or roughly 36% ROI. Not bad, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The longest losing streak was three, which meant a $70 bet on the fourth step. When that hit at +150, it pulled me back into the green, but those stretches test your nerve—and your bankroll.
Biggest win was a $40 bet on the Jets beating the Leafs at +140 back in February. They were down 2-0 going into the third, then stormed back with three unanswered goals. Paid out $96, and I reset the system right after. Worst loss? A $70 bet on the Coyotes against the Oilers. McDavid went off, and I was out the full amount. That’s hockey for you—unpredictable as hell.
I’m still tweaking the filters—might narrow it to specific divisions or home underdogs only. Sample size is small, so I wouldn’t call this a goldmine yet. Anyone else messing with progressive systems on sports? Curious how you handle the variance. For now, I’ll keep grinding it and update if it crashes or takes off.
No response.
 
Hey all, thought I’d drop in and share some numbers from my latest experiment. I’ve been testing a progressive betting system on hockey matches for the past couple of months, and the results are starting to take shape. Figured this thread’s a good spot to lay it out since it’s about wins—and yeah, losses too.
The system’s pretty straightforward: I’m using a modified Martingale approach, but with a twist to keep things manageable. Start with a base unit—say, $10—and double it after every loss on a moneyline bet. The catch is I cap it at four steps to avoid spiraling into crazy amounts. After a win, I reset to the base. I also stick to underdog bets with odds between +120 and +180, focusing on teams with decent recent form but not the obvious favorites. Hockey’s got enough chaos in it to make this interesting, especially with how goals can swing late in games.
So far, I’ve tracked 35 bets over 8 weeks, all on NHL regular season games. Out of those, 14 hit, which is about 40%—not stellar, but the odds balance it out. Total staked: $1,230. Total returned: $1,680. That’s a $450 profit, or roughly 36% ROI. Not bad, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The longest losing streak was three, which meant a $70 bet on the fourth step. When that hit at +150, it pulled me back into the green, but those stretches test your nerve—and your bankroll.
Biggest win was a $40 bet on the Jets beating the Leafs at +140 back in February. They were down 2-0 going into the third, then stormed back with three unanswered goals. Paid out $96, and I reset the system right after. Worst loss? A $70 bet on the Coyotes against the Oilers. McDavid went off, and I was out the full amount. That’s hockey for you—unpredictable as hell.
I’m still tweaking the filters—might narrow it to specific divisions or home underdogs only. Sample size is small, so I wouldn’t call this a goldmine yet. Anyone else messing with progressive systems on sports? Curious how you handle the variance. For now, I’ll keep grinding it and update if it crashes or takes off.
Yo, just had to chime in after reading your breakdown—love the detail on this progressive betting experiment. Hockey’s such a wild ride for this kind of system, and your results are pretty intriguing so far. That 36% ROI is nothing to sneeze at, especially with the NHL’s knack for throwing curveballs like those late-game turnarounds you mentioned with the Jets. I’m not deep into progressive systems myself, but I’ve been vibing with the casino lifestyle and dipping into sports betting lately, so this thread’s got my attention.

Since you’re testing this on hockey, I’m curious if you’re planning to roll it into the playoffs. The intensity ramps up big time, and underdog bets can get even spicier with the pressure cooker of postseason games. I’ve been burned before betting on regular season systems that didn’t translate to playoffs—teams tighten up, and the chaos factor shifts. Your +120 to +180 odds range feels solid, but I wonder if you’d tweak the cap or filters for the postseason. Like, maybe leaning harder into home underdogs or teams with hot goaltenders, since netminders can steal series single-handedly.

I usually stick to casino games—roulette and blackjack are my jam—but hockey betting’s been pulling me in this season. I’ve been playing around with flat bets on playoff-bound teams, mostly moneylines, and keeping an eye on how teams perform in clutch situations. Your Martingale twist with the four-step cap is smart, though. I’ve seen too many folks crash and burn chasing losses with no limit. That $70 bet on the Coyotes stung just reading about it—McDavid’s a one-man wrecking crew. Do you ever get tempted to push past the cap when you’re deep in a streak, or is the discipline locked in?

One thing I’ve noticed with hockey is how much injuries or line changes can mess with your head when picking underdogs. Like, you think a team’s got momentum, then their top center’s out, and it’s a different game. Have you got a way to factor that into your filters? I’m also curious what you think about live betting for your system—those swings in playoff games could be gold for catching a reset after a goal flips the odds.

Anyway, I’m stoked to see how this plays out for you, especially if you keep it going into the postseason. The casino vibe’s all about riding the highs and managing the lows, and your approach feels like it captures that. Keep us posted on any tweaks or if you start zeroing in on specific playoff matchups. I might steal some of your underdog logic for my own bets—cheers for sharing the numbers!
 
Hey all, thought I’d drop in and share some numbers from my latest experiment. I’ve been testing a progressive betting system on hockey matches for the past couple of months, and the results are starting to take shape. Figured this thread’s a good spot to lay it out since it’s about wins—and yeah, losses too.
The system’s pretty straightforward: I’m using a modified Martingale approach, but with a twist to keep things manageable. Start with a base unit—say, $10—and double it after every loss on a moneyline bet. The catch is I cap it at four steps to avoid spiraling into crazy amounts. After a win, I reset to the base. I also stick to underdog bets with odds between +120 and +180, focusing on teams with decent recent form but not the obvious favorites. Hockey’s got enough chaos in it to make this interesting, especially with how goals can swing late in games.
So far, I’ve tracked 35 bets over 8 weeks, all on NHL regular season games. Out of those, 14 hit, which is about 40%—not stellar, but the odds balance it out. Total staked: $1,230. Total returned: $1,680. That’s a $450 profit, or roughly 36% ROI. Not bad, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The longest losing streak was three, which meant a $70 bet on the fourth step. When that hit at +150, it pulled me back into the green, but those stretches test your nerve—and your bankroll.
Biggest win was a $40 bet on the Jets beating the Leafs at +140 back in February. They were down 2-0 going into the third, then stormed back with three unanswered goals. Paid out $96, and I reset the system right after. Worst loss? A $70 bet on the Coyotes against the Oilers. McDavid went off, and I was out the full amount. That’s hockey for you—unpredictable as hell.
I’m still tweaking the filters—might narrow it to specific divisions or home underdogs only. Sample size is small, so I wouldn’t call this a goldmine yet. Anyone else messing with progressive systems on sports? Curious how you handle the variance. For now, I’ll keep grinding it and update if it crashes or takes off.
Yo, nice write-up, but let’s cut through the noise here. Your progressive betting experiment sounds like a wild ride, and I’ll give you props for tracking it properly—most folks just wing it and cry later. But, man, a modified Martingale on hockey underdogs? That’s like trying to skate on a frozen lake during a thunderstorm. You’re tempting fate with those doubling-up steps, even with a cap. Hockey’s a beast; one bad bounce or a hot goalie can torch your bankroll faster than you can say “McDavid hat trick.”

Your 40% hit rate and 36% ROI look juicy on paper, but let’s be real—35 bets is barely a warm-up in the grand scheme. Variance in hockey is a cruel mistress. You’re riding high now, but a five-game skid could have you staring at a $150 bet to claw back, and that’s if you don’t hit your cap first. I’ve seen guys get cocky with these systems, only to crash when the puck luck flips. That Jets win you mentioned? Sick comeback, but those are the kind of games that make you feel invincible right before the game screws you.

Here’s my take, since you’re asking about variance and systems. I’ve been betting hockey for years, mostly NHL and some KHL when the lines are soft. Progressive systems like yours can work short-term, but they’re a gut punch if you don’t cash out quick when you’re up. My approach is flatter, less reckless—fixed units, usually 2-3% of my roll, targeting moneyline dogs or puck line bets on teams with strong underlying numbers. Think xG, high-danger chances, or goalie save percentages over the last 10 games. I lean on home underdogs too, especially when a top team’s on a back-to-back. But the real key? Getting your money out fast. Bookies don’t care about your hot streak—they’ll slow-pay or limit you if you’re winning too much. I stick to books that process withdrawals in under 24 hours, crypto mostly, so I’m not sweating when I need to pull profits.

Your filter tweak idea’s smart—divisions or home dogs could tighten things up. I’d also look at teams with top-tier penalty kills facing power-play-heavy opponents. Those spots are gold for upsets. But progressive betting? Nah, I’m not sold. You’re basically praying the puck gods don’t smite you during a cold streak. I’d rather grind smaller edges and not have my stomach in knots over a $70 bet. You said it yourself—hockey’s unpredictable as hell. Why add more chaos with a system that punishes losses?

Keep us posted if you refine it or blow up. And word of advice: when you’re up like that, yank some of that $450 out and lock it in. Nothing worse than giving it all back on a bad week. What books are you using, anyway? Some are way better for quick cashouts, which you’ll need if you’re doubling bets like that.