Alright, I’ve been digging into Serie A for a while now, and I’ve got a strategy that’s been working decently for me. Figured I’d share it here since some of you might find it useful. I focus mostly on mid-table teams—those sitting between 8th and 14th. They’re less predictable than the big boys like Juventus or Inter, but that’s where the value hides. I look at their home vs away form, especially against similar-level sides, and check the head-to-head stats over the last couple of seasons. Injuries matter too—Serie A squads aren’t always deep, so a missing key player can flip a game.
I tend to lean on match outcome markets, but I’m not above a both-teams-to-score punt if the defenses look shaky. Odds around 2.0 to 2.5 are my sweet spot—nothing too wild, just steady. Last weekend, I had some luck with Fiorentina at home against Verona. Their record at the Franchi is solid, and Verona’s been leaking goals on the road. Came through without too much sweat. Anyway, that’s my two cents. Take it or leave it—hope it sparks something for someone!
I tend to lean on match outcome markets, but I’m not above a both-teams-to-score punt if the defenses look shaky. Odds around 2.0 to 2.5 are my sweet spot—nothing too wild, just steady. Last weekend, I had some luck with Fiorentina at home against Verona. Their record at the Franchi is solid, and Verona’s been leaking goals on the road. Came through without too much sweat. Anyway, that’s my two cents. Take it or leave it—hope it sparks something for someone!