D'Alembert vs. Video Poker: Can This System Hit the Big One?

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Mar 18, 2025
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Alright, folks, let’s shuffle the deck and dive into this D’Alembert experiment I’ve been running on video poker lately. You know me — I’m that guy who’s always tinkering with betting systems, and D’Alembert’s my latest obsession. For the uninitiated, it’s a slow-and-steady approach: you bump your bet up by one unit after a loss, drop it by one after a win. Simple, elegant, and supposedly keeps you from going broke too fast. But can it really deal you a royal flush of profits in video poker? Let’s break it down.
I’ve been testing this on Jacks or Better, mostly because it’s the bread and butter of video poker and the paytables are pretty forgiving if you play smart. Started with a $1 base bet, figuring I’d give it a fair shake over a couple hundred hands. The idea was to ride the variance, keep my cool, and see if D’Alembert could nudge me toward something big without busting my bankroll. Spoiler: it’s a rollercoaster, but not the kind that leaves you screaming.
First session, I hit a rough patch early — dropped four hands in a row, so my bet climbed to $5 pretty quick. Then I snag a pair of kings, and it’s back to $4. The system’s got this seesaw vibe, which keeps things interesting. Over 50 hands, I was down about $15, but the losses didn’t spiral like they do with Martingale (yeah, I’ve been there, and my wallet still hasn’t forgiven me). Next night, luck flipped — caught a full house and a flush back-to-back, and suddenly I’m up $20, betting $2 a hand. It’s like the machine was teasing me with a taste of the big time.
Here’s the rub, though: video poker’s all about those rare, juicy payouts — four of a kind, straight flushes, that sort of thing. D’Alembert doesn’t chase those moments; it’s too busy playing it safe. When I hit a three of a kind and cashed $7, my bet dropped back down, which felt like stepping off the gas right when the road got fun. Compare that to flat betting, where I’d just keep plugging away at $1 and let the variance do its thing. With D’Alembert, you’re always adjusting, which can feel like you’re dancing around the big wins instead of going for them.
The numbers? After 200 hands across a week, I’m up $12. Not exactly quitting-my-day-job money, but it’s profit, and I didn’t blow through my stash. The system’s strength is it keeps you in the game — losses don’t snowball, and wins pull you back from the edge. But video poker’s RNG doesn’t care about your clever little progressions. You’re still at the mercy of the draw, and D’Alembert won’t magically line up five cards to a royal. It’s more like a trusty sidekick than a golden ticket.
So, can it hit the big one? Eh, not really. It’s too cautious to stack the chips high when the machine’s hot. But if you’re like me — someone who enjoys the grind, likes a bit of structure, and doesn’t mind a slow burn — it’s a fun way to play. Next up, I might tweak it: maybe double the unit size on a heater or reset after a decent win. For now, though, D’Alembert’s keeping me dealt in, one hand at a time. Anyone else tried this system on VP? How’d it treat you?
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