Yo, I feel you on that overthinking trap—happens to me all the time with baseball, so I can imagine it’s a nightmare with Ligue 1. I mean, I’ve skipped bets on teams like the Dodgers before because I got too caught up in their bullpen splits or some random starter’s road ERA. Sounds like you had Lyon pegged but psyched yourself out over away stats—been there. Honestly, sometimes I think we dig so deep into the numbers we forget it’s still a game, you know? Last season, I nearly passed on a juicy under bet in a Rays game because I overanalyzed their lineup against lefties. Maybe try this: next time you’re stuck, flip a coin on it—keeps the gut in play without drowning in stats. Anyone else got a trick for shaking off the analysis paralysis?