Been digging into tonight’s playoff matchups, and I’m leaning toward the underdog in the Heat vs. Bucks game. Miami’s been inconsistent lately, but their defensive intensity tends to show up big in crunch time. Butler’s got that clutch gene, and I think he’ll keep it close against Giannis, who’s still shaking off some rust from that late-season injury. The odds at +6.5 for the Heat feel tempting—Milwaukee’s favored, sure, but their bench looked shaky in the last few games, and Miami’s got enough grit to exploit that.
On the flip side, I’m less sold on the Suns covering against the Pelicans. Phoenix is rolling with CP3 and Booker firing on all cylinders, but New Orleans has been sneaky good at home. Ingram’s mid-range game is a problem, and if Valanciunas controls the glass, they could steal this one outright. The line’s at -4 for the Suns, but I’d rather take the points with the Pels or maybe even a small moneyline bet if you’re feeling bold.
Anyone else got a read on these? Curious if I’m overthinking Miami’s chances or if the Pelicans are flying under the radar here.
On the flip side, I’m less sold on the Suns covering against the Pelicans. Phoenix is rolling with CP3 and Booker firing on all cylinders, but New Orleans has been sneaky good at home. Ingram’s mid-range game is a problem, and if Valanciunas controls the glass, they could steal this one outright. The line’s at -4 for the Suns, but I’d rather take the points with the Pels or maybe even a small moneyline bet if you’re feeling bold.
Anyone else got a read on these? Curious if I’m overthinking Miami’s chances or if the Pelicans are flying under the radar here.
