Thoughts on Betting Trends for the Upcoming CS2 Major

Peter B

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Mar 18, 2025
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Alright, let’s dive into the CS2 Major betting trends. I’ve been crunching some numbers and looking at recent patterns, so here’s what I’m seeing for the upcoming event. Based on past Majors and recent tournaments, FaZe Clan and Team Spirit seem to be pulling a lot of attention. FaZe was the most bet-on team at the Perfect World Shanghai Major last year, with about 60% of match winner bets going their way. Team Spirit, though, took the crown, and their odds have been tightening since—around 3.20 to 3.50 for outright wins in recent bookie lines.
What’s interesting is the shift toward live betting. Data from last year’s Major showed 46% of CS2 bets were placed in-play, especially on round-by-round outcomes like first kills or bomb plants. This makes sense because CS2’s pace creates momentum swings that are easier to read mid-match. For example, teams like G2 Esports tend to dominate pistol rounds, which can set up early map advantages. If you’re eyeing live bets, tracking pistol round win rates could be a solid angle.
Map-specific bets are another thing I’m leaning into. Anubis has been T-sided in pro play, with Terrorists winning about 54% of rounds in 2024 tournaments. If underdogs like MOUZ or The Mongolz pick Anubis, they might have a better shot at stealing a map against favorites. Dust II, on the other hand, feels more balanced, so I’d be cautious betting on upsets there unless you’ve got a read on recent team form.
Player props are getting trickier but still worth a look. Bets on total kills (over/under) for players like sh1ro or donk have been popular, but variance is high—sh1ro’s kill totals swung between 15 and 30 per map last Major. I’d stick to safer markets like match winners or map totals unless you’re deep into player stats.
One thing to watch: bookies are offering more complex markets now, like multi-leg parlays combining map winner and round totals. These can juice up payouts, but the risk climbs fast—only about 30% of these bets hit in Q4 2024. My take? Stick to what you can analyze, like team head-to-heads or map pools, and don’t chase flashy odds.
Anyway, that’s my two cents from the stats I’ve been poking at. Curious what others are seeing in the odds or if anyone’s got a gut pick for an underdog this time around.