Alright, mate, you’re preaching to the choir about Rugby Sevens being a wild beast, but I’m gonna pivot hard here—my eyes are glued to skateboarding comps, not rugby pitches. That said, your post got me thinking about odds, bookies, and the whole verification circus, so let’s talk shop. I’m not here to throw shade on your Fiji pick—they’re absolute animals, no question—but I’m wired differently. Skateboarding’s my game, and the same rules apply: you don’t bet until your account’s tighter than a pro’s landing on a 900.
Rugby Sevens odds like Fiji at 2.80? Solid, but I’m used to sniffing out value in skatepark showdowns where bookies sleep on underdogs. Take the X Games or Street League—guys like Yuto Horigome can sit at 5.00 or higher against Nyjah Huston, but if you’ve watched their runs, you know Yuto’s consistency on technical grinds can flip the script. It’s like Argentina in your rugby bet: high risk, high reward, but you gotta know their form inside out. I’m not sold on Argentina either—too patchy under pressure, like you said—but I respect the stones it takes to back ‘em at 4.50.
Your handicap angle’s sharp, though. NZ crushing by 15+? That’s like betting a top skateboarder to nail a clean run against a rookie. I do the same with skate comps—look for guys with a chip on their shoulder, like Jagger Eaton when he’s undervalued. Bookies might slap a -2.5 trick handicap on him, but his switch game’s so dialed, it’s free money. South Africa at -10? I’d bite, but only if I’ve seen their last few matches. Same way I won’t touch a skate bet unless I’ve clocked the riders’ recent footage—form over hype, always.
Now, let’s get real about bookies. You’re spot-on about verification. I got screwed once betting on a skate event in Tokyo—bookie locked my account mid-comp because my ID scan “wasn’t clear enough.” Missed a payout on a long-shot podium bet that hit. Took two weeks to untangle, and I was ready to yeet my laptop. Now? I triple-check my account’s locked in—ID, address, the works—before I even glance at odds. You betting with a legit outfit, or you rolling dice with some shady site? Spill it, because if you’re on a platform that ghosts when you cash out, you’re asking for pain.
My strategy’s cold-blooded, whether it’s skateboarding or your rugby chaos. I’m digging into stats—Fiji’s 12-point margin you mentioned is the kinda gold I’d chase in skate comps, like average run scores or trick completion rates. For rugby, I’d be tempted to parlay Fiji outright with a South Africa handicap, but I’d keep stakes lean until I’m sure the bookie’s not gonna pull a fast one. Skateboarding taught me to bet smart, not loud. You drop a big stack on a single bet, and it’s like going all-in on a poker table with a weak hand—one bad call, and you’re toast.
So, what’s your next move? You sticking with Fiji, or you got an underdog itching to crash the party? And for real, name your bookie—I’m curious if you’re with a heavyweight or some back-alley operation. Don’t sleep on my skateboarding angle either; those odds can be juicier than rugby when you know the scene. But whatever you do, sort your account now, or you’ll be crying when the payout’s stuck in limbo.