Can Betting on Ties in Baccarat Actually Pay Off? Let’s Talk Strategy!

GuaraVale

Member
Mar 18, 2025
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Alright, let’s dive into this baccarat tie bet madness! I’ve been crunching numbers and watching tables for weeks, and I’m honestly torn. On one hand, that 8:1 payout for a tie looks so tempting—it’s like the game’s dangling a shiny carrot in front of you. But then reality hits, and you realize ties happen maybe once in a blue moon. I ran some stats from my last 50 sessions, and ties showed up less than 10% of the time. Brutal, right?
Still, I’ve seen folks swear by sprinkling small bets on ties, treating it like a side hustle to their main banker or player bets. The logic? If you hit one, it covers a bunch of losses and then some. But here’s the kicker—casinos know this bet’s a long shot, so that house edge is a monster, eating away at your stack if you chase it too hard. I tried a session where I put 10% of my bets on ties, and let’s just say my wallet wasn’t thrilled.
What’s got me curious is if there’s a way to time it better. Like, are there streaks or patterns where ties pop up more? I know baccarat’s supposed to be random, but when you’re at the table and see two ties in a row, it’s hard not to feel like something’s brewing. Anyone here track shoe trends and notice anything weird with ties? Or am I just seeing ghosts? Hit me with your thoughts—I’m dying to figure out if this bet’s worth the hype or just a trap!
 
Alright, let’s dive into this baccarat tie bet madness! I’ve been crunching numbers and watching tables for weeks, and I’m honestly torn. On one hand, that 8:1 payout for a tie looks so tempting—it’s like the game’s dangling a shiny carrot in front of you. But then reality hits, and you realize ties happen maybe once in a blue moon. I ran some stats from my last 50 sessions, and ties showed up less than 10% of the time. Brutal, right?
Still, I’ve seen folks swear by sprinkling small bets on ties, treating it like a side hustle to their main banker or player bets. The logic? If you hit one, it covers a bunch of losses and then some. But here’s the kicker—casinos know this bet’s a long shot, so that house edge is a monster, eating away at your stack if you chase it too hard. I tried a session where I put 10% of my bets on ties, and let’s just say my wallet wasn’t thrilled.
What’s got me curious is if there’s a way to time it better. Like, are there streaks or patterns where ties pop up more? I know baccarat’s supposed to be random, but when you’re at the table and see two ties in a row, it’s hard not to feel like something’s brewing. Anyone here track shoe trends and notice anything weird with ties? Or am I just seeing ghosts? Hit me with your thoughts—I’m dying to figure out if this bet’s worth the hype or just a trap!
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Alright, let’s dive into this baccarat tie bet madness! I’ve been crunching numbers and watching tables for weeks, and I’m honestly torn. On one hand, that 8:1 payout for a tie looks so tempting—it’s like the game’s dangling a shiny carrot in front of you. But then reality hits, and you realize ties happen maybe once in a blue moon. I ran some stats from my last 50 sessions, and ties showed up less than 10% of the time. Brutal, right?
Still, I’ve seen folks swear by sprinkling small bets on ties, treating it like a side hustle to their main banker or player bets. The logic? If you hit one, it covers a bunch of losses and then some. But here’s the kicker—casinos know this bet’s a long shot, so that house edge is a monster, eating away at your stack if you chase it too hard. I tried a session where I put 10% of my bets on ties, and let’s just say my wallet wasn’t thrilled.
What’s got me curious is if there’s a way to time it better. Like, are there streaks or patterns where ties pop up more? I know baccarat’s supposed to be random, but when you’re at the table and see two ties in a row, it’s hard not to feel like something’s brewing. Anyone here track shoe trends and notice anything weird with ties? Or am I just seeing ghosts? Hit me with your thoughts—I’m dying to figure out if this bet’s worth the hype or just a trap!
Man, I hear you on that tie bet struggle—it’s like chasing a puck that keeps getting deflected! Those 8:1 odds look juicy, but the house edge is like a ref calling penalties on your bankroll every time you try. I’ve been down that road too, and after tracking a few dozen shoes myself, I’m with you on the tie drought. My numbers were grim—ties hit maybe 8% in my sessions, and that’s being generous.

Here’s where I’m at: I stopped treating ties as a main play and started using them as a spice, not the whole dish. Instead of throwing 10% of my bets on ties, I keep it to one unit every 10-15 hands, especially if I notice the shoe’s been choppy with no clear banker/player runs. No science to it, just a gut call when the table feels “stuck.” I’ve hit a couple ties that way, and it’s a nice boost, but I’m not kidding myself—it’s still a long shot.

On patterns, I’ve tried tracking shoes to spot tie clusters, but it’s like predicting when McDavid’s gonna score in a playoff game—feels random as hell. Some guys I know swear by waiting for two ties in a row before jumping in, but I’ve seen that backfire more than it pays. If you’re digging into trends, maybe check the scoreboards for shoes with shorter streaks overall; ties seem to sneak in when the game’s not leaning hard one way. But honestly, I’m starting to think ties are just the casino’s way of trolling us.

What’s your take on sizing those tie bets? You sticking with small sprinkles or going bigger when you feel a vibe? I’m curious if anyone’s cracked a system that doesn’t feel like betting on a shootout goal with a blindfold on.